France’s finance minister, Bruno Le Maire, has warned that the fourth quarter of 2020 will be difficult. The markets, meanwhile, may be choppy. World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files. In a worrying sign, German retail spending fell more than expected in September. This will result in a sharp expansion in the deficit and debt rising above 120% of GDP. Newsflash: France has got eurozone GDP day up and running, by posting stronger than expected growth for the third quarter of the year. France GDP Annual Growth Rate History. LE MAIRE: I SEE AN 11% CONTRACTION IN THE FRENCH ECONOMY IN 2020. Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business. Learn how the World Bank Group is helping countries with COVID-19 (coronavirus). But food & online sales kept overall turnover 6.5% above last year's level. Last 12 readings. 1961 - 2019. But, like France and Spain, Austria’s economy hasn’t yet returned to its pre-pandemic size either. All components of domestic demand rebounded. pic.twitter.com/2sn3nmYEb4. © 2020 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. GDP is the sum of gross value added by all resident producers in the economy plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the value of the products. Europe shrank by over 11% in April-June, remember, as tough lockdowns were imposed. France gdp growth rate for 2017 was 2.29%, a 1.2% increase from 2016. But business investment (Gross fixed capital formation) was sharply down (–5.1% year-on-year), despite rebounding by 23.3% in Q3. If you use our chart images on your site or blog, we ask that you provide attribution via a link back to this page. This site uses cookies to optimize functionality and give you the best possible experience. Newsflash: Spain has joined France in posting faster-than-expected growth figures. Austria has also returned to growth, new data show. Could become the theme of the day before we remember that lockdown-November is just around the corner. We also get Mexican GDP figures, and Canadian growth data for August, plus some UK housing data. Among the Major Seven economies, the United States recorded an annual growth of minus 9.5%, while the United Kingdom recorded the sharpest annual fall … Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. France gdp growth rate for 2018 was 1.79%, a 0.5% decline from 2017. FRANCE'S FINANCE MIN. Followed contraction of 13.7% q/q in Q2 & 5.9% q/q in Q1. Spanish GDP expanded by 16.7% in the third quarter of 2020, the fastest expansion on record, after its Covid-19 restrictions were lifted. *FRENCH FINANCE MINISTER LE MAIRE SPEAKS ON FRANCE INTER RADIO - BBG*LE MAIRE: FRENCH ECONOMY TO CONTRACT 11% IN 2020. All rights reserved. When compared to the prior-year period, third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) decreased by 5.3%. International Comparison Program & Purchasing Power Parity, International Household Survey Network (IHSN), Trust Fund for Statistical Capacity Building. Nevertheless, GDP remained well below the level it had before the health crisis: measured in volume, compared to its level in Q3 2019 (year-on-year), GDP of Q3 2020 was 4.3% lower. The latest eurozone unemployment figures, due at 10am GMT, are likely to show a rise in joblessness last month - perhaps to 8.3% from 8.1% in August. Label. Household consumption expenditure jumped +17.3% in Q3, and was only 2.1% lower than a year ago. All very encouraging.... until you remember that France has just entered a new national lockdown that will slow the recovery sharply. If you use our datasets on your site or blog, we ask that you provide attribution via a link back to this page. .. while Howard Archer of EY Item Club warns France could contract again before the end of the year: #French #GDP rose 18.2% quarter-on-quarter in third quarter as #economy opened up after #COVID restrictions. Newsflash: France has got eurozone GDP day up and running, by posting stronger than expected growth for the third quarter of the year. Annual percentage growth rate of GDP at market prices based on constant local currency. Germany 's retail sales fell by -2.2% MoM in September, much more than expected -0.8%, hinting cold autumn for German (and possibly Eurozone) consumption@graemewearden, German retail sales dropped quite sharply in September (-2.2% m/m). Due to new lockdown measures, a contraction in 4Q by YY looks unavoidable. FTSE 100 posts worst weekly loss since June, Markets endure worst week since March crash, Eurozone posts record growth figures....as winter pain looms, Italian GDP jumps 16.1% after lockdowns ended, Latest: Markets wrap up worst week since March, Eurozone economy grew by 12.7% in July-September, the French economy has bounced back from its Q2 slump, 7am GMT: Nationwide survey of UK house prices, 10am GMT: Eurozone unemployment data for September, 10am GMT: Eurozone inflation data for October. Trade also made a positive contribution to GDP, with exports up 23.2% in July-September and imports only up 16.0%. “However, activity is likely to slow in the coming quarters, perhaps sharply, if the labour market weakens as most analysts expect, especially once the stamp duty holiday expires at the end of March. Backlinks from other websites and blogs are the lifeblood of our site and are our primary source of new traffic. That’s worse than an earlier forecast of a 10% contraction, Reuters points out, reflecting the impact of the second wave of Covid-19. The rebound could not fully offset the decline caused by the pandemic, Wifo, which compiles data for the government, added. pic.twitter.com/cb282bnVmS. Please check your download folder. Quarterly GDP growth. French GDP expanded by 18.2% in July-September, according to the new figures from statistics body INSEE. GDP decreased by 11.8 % in the euro area (EA-19) and 11.4 % in the EU-27 during the second quarter of 2020, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate (see Data sources below) published by Eurostat.These were the sharpest declines observed since time series started in 1995. French GDP … GDP remained well below its pre-crisis level (-4.1%) https://t.co/5LlTwlzz5z pic.twitter.com/dAFYuTTh02. Nadia Gharbi, senior economist at Pictet Wealth Management, says the French economy has bounced back from its Q2 slump - although it’s still smaller than before the pandemic: In Q3, GDP bounced back (+18.2% q-o-q after -13.7% q-o-q) in France. If you continue to navigate this website beyond this page, cookies will be placed on your browser. #Eurozone. It suggested that household spending is cooling, even before Germany goes into a new ‘light lockdown’ next week. A Look at the Markets. Broadly speaking, the eurozone’s economic rebound was cooling – the manufacturing and services reports have disappointed. Behavioural shifts as a result of Covid-19 may provide support for housing market activity, while the stamp duty holiday will continue to provide a near term boost by bringing purchases forward. The real damage to market sentiment was on the back of the stricter restriction in countries like Spain, Italy, France and Germany. #Spain #GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash at 16.7% https://t.co/MUSK1wytp8 pic.twitter.com/8kD2ytkyVb. Spending by consumers and government lifted the French economy back to growth in the third quarter, INSEE explains. France gdp growth rate for 2019 was 1.51%, a 0.28% decline from 2018. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your data export is now complete. But... Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, reckons activity will weaken as the Covid-19 pandemic hits the economy. Speaking on France Inter radio, Le Maire says the French economy is expected to contract by 11% in 2020. Government expenditure was 0.4% higher than a year ago, and jumped by 15.4% in Q3 alone (the cost of fighting the pandemic and stimulating the economy). Eurozone GDP figures should show that the region has escaped recession, growing by an estimated 9.4% in the third quarter of 2020. Also Show. But still down 4.3% year-on-year in Q3 & in danger of renewed q/q contraction in Q4 due to renewed restrictions. License: CC BY-4.0 Line Bar Map. Please check your download folder. The optimism of the summer has been replaced by a sense that it is going to be long winter. That follows Spain’s worst ever slump during the pandemic -- its economy shrank by 17.8% in April-June as the country went into a tough, three-month pandemic lockdown. Template for today's GDP data: strong rebound in 3Q by XX, after historic slump in 2Q. Traders are wondering, what the currency area will look like in early December, when France’s and Germany’s lockdown should be over. French GDP +18.2% Q/Q above the 15.4% forecast, marking a recovery from the Q2 fall of -13.7%. This week there has been turmoil in European stock markets on account of the jump in the number of new Covid-19 cases and the rise in the hospitalisation rates. European Opening Calls:#FTSE 5510 -1.29%#DAX 11381 -1.87%#CAC 4491 -1.72%#AEX 527 -1.40%#MIB 17575 -1.66%#IBEX 6298 -1.77%#OMX 1692 -1.41%#STOXX 2906 -1.81%#IGOpeningCall, Available for everyone, funded by readers. The Austrian economy rebounded by 11.1% in the third quarter, think tank Wifo said on Friday, citing a rise in consumer demand and a recovery in the service sector, as coronavirus-related restrictions were eased. To learn more about cookies, click here. GDP growth (annual %) - France. pic.twitter.com/EDJd1z4Bmm. Nationwide has reported that annual house price growth rose to 5.8% in October, the highest rate since January 2015. France gdp growth rate for 2016 was 1.10%, a 0.02% decline from 2015. Year-on-year GDP growth for the OECD area was minus 10.9% in the second quarter of 2020, following growth of minus 0.9% in the previous quarter. In the European context, France's lockdown was particularly strict, and its fiscal support package particularly generous. First published on Fri 30 Oct 2020 02.39 EDT. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and degradation of natural resources. The French Q3 GDP report easily exceeded even the highest forecast similar to yesterday's Belgian number. In the UK, house prices have accelerated again - but a slowdown may be looming as unemployment jumps. Tentatively, I'd say that the boost from the VAT cut is fading with emerging consumer caution maybe adding a bit, too. “The outlook remains highly uncertain and will depend heavily on how the pandemic and the measures to contain it evolve as well as the efficacy of policy measures implemented to limit the damage to the wider economy. They jumped 0.8% this month alone, as the current stamp duty holiday continues to drive demand. The Federal Statistics Office reports that retail sales dropped 2.2% last month, a bigger fall than expected. France, Germany, Spain and Italy have all posted record rises in GDP, but the region is still below its pre-pandemic levels, Fri 30 Oct 2020 14.22 EDT Returning to growth should be a cause of celebration, but probably not today, with France and Germany both heading into new lockdowns to battle the virus, which will slow growth sharply this quarter. But... it still leaves France’s economy smaller than before the pandemic started, as this chart shows: In Q3 2020, GDP in volume terms bounced back: +18.2% after –13.7% in Q2 2020. We expect a deep recession in France in 2020, with the economy not recovering to its end-2019 size until 2022. That’s stronger than expected, and follows a 13.7% contraction in April-June. Find Out, Online tool for visualization and analysis. That would be the strongest growth on record, but only after the worst slump ever. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your image export is now complete. World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files. That's stronger than consensus view according to Blommberg (15.0%) and also our own estimate (17.6%).Unfortunately, Q4 will come in weaker than estimated until recently. Countries across the Eurozone will report GDP figures through the morning, so it will be a busy time. GDP down by 11.8 % in the euro area and by 11.4 % in the EU-27. Spain: Covid-19 resurgence heightens risks to optimistic growth and fiscal forecasts in 2021 budget . Marc Brütsch, chief economist at Swiss Life, also fears France’s economy will disappoint in the final three months of this year: GDP in #France recovers by 18.2% through the third quarter. But fears are growing that Q4 will now see a 3-4% hit from fresh lockdowns #coronavirus #france. None; Aggregates; Same region; Similar values; Highest values; Lowest values; Share Details. France's gross domestic product grew by 18.2% between July and September, the country's statistics office, Insee, said in a preliminary reading. Today we learn how well Europe’s economy fared over the summer, just as the second wave of Covid-19 cases threaten to push the region back into recession. US stock futures are currently down 2%, as Covid-19 anxiety and US election worries weigh again. This leaves Spain’s economy 8.7% smaller than a year ago, the National Statistics Institute adds.